The trend of pushing BI to the business user is clearly seen in predictive analytics, where underwriters, claims, and other line-level staff use analytics tools for purposes ranging from supporting individual case decisions to monitoring the portfolio of work for which they are accountable.
Some definitions of BI encompass only the more traditional functions of reporting and analysis, but Carnahan prefers a more comprehensive view that includes predictive analytics, as well. "I would define BI as anything that helps you use data to analyze information, make decisions, and analyze performance," she explains. "That includes data mining, benchmarking, text mining, all the way up to predictive analytics."
Society Insurance targeted more consistent decision-making and pricing of accounts when it put an analytics tool from Valen Technologies in the hands of underwriters but quickly found the impact of the BI platform extended much further.
"What surprised us was our underwriting staff has used the tool beyond the individual risk pricing and selection," says Rick Parks, Society’s COO. "They’ve applied it to book-of-business reviews to analyze how that book should be priced and why, compare how we have it priced, and pro-ject what the results could have been. We’re finding some unexpected opportunities."
Society contracted with Valen in 2008 and put the tool into production in August 2009, starting with new business in workers’ compensation. "We were surprisingly pleased with the amount and quality of our data, but due to resource limitations on our end, it took us longer to have the model developed than we might have liked,"
Parks says.
The SaaS-based system uses structured policy or application data and automatically draws data from external sources, such as the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Based on the analysis, underwriters are presented with a pricing recommendation. How underwriting acts on that recommendation is captured by Society’s enterprise BI platform for traditional reporting analysis.
"If the model recommends a certain price point and the underwriter decides to go a different direction, we can analyze how that turned out and either fine-tune the model or educate our underwriters," says Parks.
A few months into the system, Society is on the path to achieving its objective of driving greater consistency into the underwriting process. "We didn’t want to roll out a hands-off model to make an up or down decision, but it’s given the underwriters a point of reference for pricing," Parks notes. "Particularly on reviews of unprofitable books, we’ve found the results pretty striking—situations where if we had turned the clock back and applied the pricing the model had recommended, our results would have broken even."
Predictive analytics also is becoming a business necessity, continues Parks. "We believe at some point, our competitors will be using this technology, and if we don’t, we will be at a competitive disadvantage," he points out. "Particularly in the small account market, accounts can look very similar but be substantially different. Putting BI in the hands of underwriters to help them find those differences is the key to gaining a market advantage."
Society plans to roll out the system to other lines of business and processes. For instance, premium audit could develop a model to determine what types of accounts would be most likely to generate additional premium. "We continue to build up our base of data points and look for more areas of correlation," says Parks.
Society sees the potential, as well, to better manage its independent agency force. "We think there’s work that can be done to analyze our agents more effectively and determine how different agencies, or different tenures of agencies, perform," Parks says. "Those are the types of analytics marketing people do now through traditional reporting, but we think there is upside to being more precise on how different data points impact each other."
Agency management is a natural fit for analytics, asserts Ferguson. "BI helps choose the right brokers to do business with and get a good channel going," he says. "You need to direct your efforts to brokers who are more profitable."
Producer management was a key objective of Zurich, which has put BI in the hands of the users through SAS’s business analytics platform. "Once we’ve built a predictive model, we look at a territory and identify segments of a book we want to go after, then work with our direct market agents to target that business," says Joel Appelbaum, chief analytics officer of Zurich North America’s commercial programs and direct markets. "We’ve optimized our marketing by prioritizing it based on analytics."
Underwriters use the system for individual risk decision support. "We used to come up with an average class rate and some characteristics that would differentiate it. Now, we’re looking at future projected profitability based on inferential statistics," says Appelbaum, adding analytics has helped Zurich trim underwriting expense.
"We can save money on ordering MVRs by predicting which accounts are likely to drive in more congested areas, based on neural network patterns we developed," he says.
In addition, analyses can determine whether intervention or more service is needed to prevent problems from occurring. For instance, because Zurich has identified a correlation between an account relocating its business and a spike in claims, loss control engineers can use the system to prioritize those accounts for reinspection.
Although users are provided the tool, they ultimately have the control—and responsibility—of whether to use the intelligence it provides or not. "We create the model and provide the KPIs to our staff, but you have to give your staff the latitude to run the business," Appelbaum says.
Zurich estimates a savings of $5 million annually from incorporating predictive analytics into its overall BI effort, gained from both expense and loss reduction. "That’s not a lot—roughly one percent of our loss ratio—but every little bit counts in this game, and we think as we implement more, we’ll see additional savings," Appelbaum says. "I also look how profitable we are in the pit of a soft market, which shows our discipline to pricing and underwriting that is supported by analytics."